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环球制作业加速苏醒,短时候面对下行压力
—2020年10月份CFLP-GPMI阐发

wenzhanglaili: zhongguowuliuyutuixiaolianxihui  banbufabiaoshihou: 2020-11-23

juzhongguowuliuyutuixiaolianxihuibanbufabiao,2020nian10yuefenhuanqiuzhizuoyepmiwei54.5%,jiaoshangyuehuisheng1.6gebaifendian,yanxu4geyuejianchizai50%yishang。yazhou、ouzhou、meizhouhefeizhouzhizuoyepmijiaoshangyuejunyouchabieshuipinghuisheng,zhishujunjianchizai50%yishang。

zhishubiangengshanxian,huanqiuzhizuoyeyanxusuxingquxiang,qiesuxingsulvjiaoshangyueyousuojiasu。huanqiujingjisuxingdequnengyuanlaiziyulieguoweiruodeanweizhengceheduiyiqingdemanmanjiezhi。danxiouxinguanfeiyanbinglizai10yueweishanxianlejisuhuishengjixiang,ouzhoushouyaoguodujunbanbufabiaoyaozengqiangfangkonglidu,caiyongxinyilundefengbibanfa。guranxindefengbibanfadouliqiujinnenggoufangzhijingjizhouquantingbai,danqiduihuanqiujingjisuxingdeduanshihouyingxiangburongqinghu,huanqiujingjijiangmianduixiaxingyali,xiaxingshuipingqujueyuyiqingdebengfashuipinghelieguodefengbishuiping。tianxiamaoyigouzao(wto)riqianbanbufabiao《maoyitongjiyuzhanwang》baogaozhichu,suiranhuanqiumaoyiyizhongxinguanfeiyanyiqingjifadeshendulanshanzhongshanxianfandanjixiang,danhuanqiusuxinglichengrengyounenggoubeiyanxudeyiqingxiaoyingsuofensui。

zaiyiqingfangkongchangtaihuaxia,tianxialieguozaiyanxujianchijiaoqiangjingjianweilidudetongshi, gengyaojinmiqinmizengqiangxiezuo,zaiyouyongkefuyiqingdegenbenshang,peihetuidongtianxiajingjideliandongchengzhang,baohutianxiacaichanlianhegongjiliandebubian,nengligenghaowanchengtianxiajingjidebubiansuxing。

分地域来看,闪现以下特色:

亚洲制作业苏醒趋向不变,PMI延续回升

2020nian10yuefen,yazhouzhizuoyepmijiaoshangyuehuisheng0.5gebaifendianzhi51.4%,yanxu6geyuehuanbihuisheng,chuangnianneixingao。congshouyaoguodukan,dajubuguoduzhizuoyepmijiaoshangyueyouchabieshuipinghuisheng。cizhong,yindu、hanguohexinjiapojingjiguifujiaohao,zhizuoyepmijunzai50%yishang,ribenzhizuoyepmisuizai50%yixia,danjiaoshangyueyousuohuisheng。zhongguozhizuoyeyanxububiansuxingtaishi,zhizuoyepmiyanxu4geyueyunzhuanzai51%jiyishang,fenxiangzhishubiangengshanxian,shichangxuyaozengtiantaishijiaoweibubian,qiyechuchangoudangjianchianwen,shouzhikouyanxugailiang,gaoduanzhizuoyeyanxujisuzengtian。miandianshouyiqingyingxiangjiaoda,zhizuoyepmiyanxujianchizai30%baibudejiaodishuiping。

jueduiqiyudiyu,yazhouyiqingfangkongbanfajiaoweideli,fangkongchengguoyeyousuoshanxian,weiyazhoujingjiyanxusuxingdianjilegenben。guojihuoquanjijingouzaokeribiaoxian,yataidiyujingjiyishanxiansuxingchouya,zhongguodeyiyuqiangwulideyiqingyingdabanfa,wuwangyanxusuxing,jiangchengweizhichiyazhoujingjisuxingdeshouyaoqili。imfbanbufabiaodeyataidiyujingjizhanwangbaogaozhongzhichu,guji2020nianyataidiyujingjijiangweisuo2.2%,2021nianwuwangzengtian6.9%。

欧洲制作业坚持苏醒态势,短时候或将承压

2020nian10yuefen,ouzhouzhizuoyepmijiaoshangyuehuisheng0.6gebaifendianzhi53.4%,yanxu4geyuebubianzai51%yishang。congshouyaoguodukan,zuoweilingtouyangdedeguozhizuoyeyanxujiasusuxing,pmishengzhi58%yishangdejiaogaoshuiping,faguo、yingguoheyidalizhizuoyepmijiaoshangyuejunyouchabieshuipinghuisheng,yingguozhizuoyepmisuiyouhuidiao,danrengjianchizai53%yishangdejiaogaoshuiping。

zonghezhishubiangeng,10yuefen,ouzhouzhizuoyeyanxulejiaokuaisuxingquxiang,lieguoguodujunyouchabieshuipingdesuxing。danzaijingjisuxingdetongshi,yiqingbingweihuodeyouyongjiezhi。10yuefendi,ouzhoushouyaoguodujunyinglailexinguanfeiyanyiqingdediercifandan,qiefandansulvjiaokuai。poyuyiqingyali,ouzhouyixieguodubudebuzaicicaiyongjiaoweijunlidefangkongbanfa,ouzhoujingjijiangzaiduanshihouneimianduixiaxingyali。ouzhouyiqingdefandanshenming,jingjisuxingyaozaiyiqingyouyongjiezhigenbenshangnenglibubian,zhixuyiqingpinpin,jingjisuxingjiangmianduipangdadebukendingxing。

非洲制作业苏醒加速,PMI较上月回升

2020nian10yuefen,feizhouzhizuoyepmiwei54.5%,jiaoshangyuehuisheng2.3gebaifendian,yanxu3geyuejianchizai50%yishang,biaomingfeizhouzhizuoyeyanxujiaokuaiguifuquxiang,qieguifuquxiangjiaoshangyueyousuojiasu。geshouyaoguoduzhong,deyiyuyiqingdeyouyongjiezhiheweiruodetouzilidu,nanfeizhizuoyeyanxujiasusuxing,zhizuoyepmiyanxu3geyuehuanbihuisheng,shengzhi60%yishangdejiaogaoshuiping;aijizhizuoyeyeshanxiannuanhesuxingquxiang,zhizuoyepmishengzhi51%yishang,niriliyazhizuoyesuxingquxiangjueduijiaoruo,pmirengzai50%yixia,danjiaoshangyueyousuohuisheng

lianxishujubiangeng,zaixinguanfeiyanyiqingbushanxianjiaozhefandandeqingkuangxia,feizhoujingjizhengzaibubiansuxing,weileyingdayiqingdaji,feizhoulieguojingyouguochengjiadagenbenjucuobanfafuzhitouzilidulaidongyuanjingjisuxingheshiyedezengtian,bingyanxunuliyugailiangfeizhoumaoyihetouziqingkuang,jiadatongtianxialieguodejingjixiezuo,yiyanxukaishifeizhoujingjizengtianqianli。

美洲制作业加速规复,不肯定性仍存

2020nian10yuefen,meizhouzhizuoyepmijiaoshangyuehuisheng3.3gebaifendianzhi58.7%,yanxu4geyuejianchizai53%yishang。shouyaoguoduzhong,meiguo、baxizhizuoyepmijiaoshangyueyousuohuisheng,jianadazhizuoyepmijiaoshangyueyousuohuidiao,danrengjianchizaijiaogaoshuiping。

lianxishujubiangeng,meizhouzhizuoyeyanxujianchiguifuquxiang,qieguifusulvjiaoshangyueyousuojiasu。yihoumeizhouzhizuoyedejiasuguifushichenglizaishouyaoguoduxiaochufengbibanfadegenbenzhishang。bangenzhejingjiguifudetongshi,meizhouyiqingbingweihuodeyouyongjiezhi,meiguohebaxidexinguanfeiyanyiqingzhurixinzengbinglishujunjugaobuxia,zheiyeweimeizhoujingjiguifudailailejiaodadebukendingxing。chugeshimeiguojingjiyuanjingdebukendingxingjiangweimeizhoushenzhihuanqiujingjisuxingdailaiyingxiang。jinqiyanxuhaozhuandeyiqingrangmeiguogezhoujunmianduizaiducaiyongfengbibanfadeyaoxie。xinyiluncaiwuanweizhengcechichibunengchutai,yezengtianleshichangdejiaozhiqinggan。meiguodaxuanchengguokendinghou,meiguoliangdangxuyaojinkuaijiuxindejingjianweizhengcegaojunfenqi,yiyingdayiqingduijingjidezaidudaji。tianxiadaxingqiyeyantaohui27rifabudeshujushanxian,10yuefenmeiguohuafeizhejuedingxinnianzhishuwei100.9,diyushichangyuqide102he9yuefendingzhenghoude101.3。meilianchuzhuxibaoweierlvcikuada,meiguojingjiyuanjinghendashuipingshangrengqujueyuyiqingzoushihemeiguodangjucaiyongdezhengcebulv。

【yiwubianji: jiazheng】

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